German media is currently dominated by dire reports on the German and European economies: traditionally strong industrial sectors are losing ground, new green technologies have yet to take off – and despite all this, we are still lagging behind on our climate targets. Media outlets paint a bleak picture of both the present and the future.
The situation is tense, no doubt about it. But what columnists and editorial writers almost completely neglect are the ample opportunities and leverage points lying dormant on the old continent. And our recent findings once again prove that we are talking significant potential here – but to tap into it, the private sector needs a reliable political framework above all else.
Take the European chemical industry, for example: it has been struggling with high energy and raw material costs for years – and these cost disadvantages are becoming increasingly pronounced. Without massive investment in innovative technologies, they can no longer be offset, write our researchers in the paper "Unpacking Competitiveness: Shaping Markets as the Way Forward for the European Chemical Industry". Their conclusion: whilst the European chemical industry still possesses a high capacity for innovation, what’s crucial now is a stable political framework to ensure planning security for strategic investments.
The challenges facing the steel industry can be described as "same but different": the decisive factor in steel production is no longer developing eco-friendly production methods, but rather establishing the right investment conditions and demand signals necessary to scale up green steel production. Standards for low-carbon steel are therefore of vital importance. Only with a clear definition of what will be considered low-carbon steel in the future can steel producers differentiate their products from traditional competitors to develop viable business cases – which in turn form the basis for the forthcoming billion-euro investments in environmentally friendly steel production. So write Dr. Chun Xia-Bauer, Dr. Lukas Hermwille and Dr. Anna Leipprand in the policy brief "Green Steel, Shared Rules? A Closer Look at Low-Carbon Steel Labels in China and Europe". Here again, the potential for sustainable growth is there; what’s needed now is a solid foundation, cast from political reliability.
What happens when this foundation goes missing is illustrated by Dr. Lukas Hermwille in the article "The Price of Uncertainty: Even cosmetic reforms to emissions trading can jeopardise the structural integrity of Europe’s climate policy architecture": using a recent example from Germany, he demonstrates that even political statements with no concrete consequences for the European emissions trading system can compromise the markets' confidence – with direct repercussions on the share prices of pioneering companies that have already invested billions in transitioning to climate neutrality. That Hermwille is not spouting unworldly theories from the ivory tower is impressively underlined by the industry itself – for example, at today’s Steel Industry Action Day organised by IG Metall Völklingen: under the slogan "Push through the transformation!", steelworkers are calling for the EU-ETS to be retained as is, arguing that any weakening of the scheme would create significant planning uncertainties that could jeopardise the very survival of the Saarland steel industry.
Conversely, a major hydrogen contract between regional German energy provider EWE and steel manufacturer Salzgitter demonstrates that through spirited partnerships, pioneering green deals remain well within reach: EWE will supply 10,000 tonnes of green hydrogen annually for the Salcos programme (Salzgitter Low CO2 Steelmaking), through which Salzgitter aims to reduce its direct CO2 emissions by 95 per cent. The deal clearly shows that major steps towards economic sustainability can be taken – provided business and politics pull together.
A broader perspective on competitiveness is provided by Prof. Dr. Peter Hennicke, Dr. Monika Dittrich and Janine Dierk in the Wuppertal Paper "Revisiting Competitiveness – Acknowledging the Economic Benefits of Climate Mitigation and Circularity": the researchers show that measures to combat climate change, promote circular economy and reduce resource consumption offer significant economic growth prospects – which are becoming increasingly scarce in the "old" fossil sectors.
How such an approach can be implemented in the context of the circular economy is laid out by Burcu Gözet, Giacomo Sebis and other researchers in the report "A just transition to a circular economy: Operational framework and indicators": the authors present an indicator-based framework for policymakers, demonstrating that a sector-sensitive approach that emphasises social equity is indispensable for monitoring a just transition to a circular economy. |